TI
TEGNA INC (TGNA)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 revenue rose 20% year over year to $870.5M, driven by $187.4M of political advertising; GAAP EPS was $1.11 and non-GAAP EPS was $1.21; Adjusted EBITDA increased 76% to $312.1M .
- Management reaffirmed its two-year 2024/2025 Adjusted Free Cash Flow guidance of $900M–$1.1B and introduced FY25 guidance for corporate expense, D&A, interest, capex and tax; Q1 2025 revenue is guided down 4%–7% YoY with non-GAAP OpEx flat to up slightly .
- Cost actions are tracking: $50M of annualized core non-programming savings achieved by year-end 2024 toward a $90–$100M run-rate target exiting 2025; programming costs rose on local sports rights, but management said these rights are profitable .
- Capital allocation remained active: $70M repurchases and $21M dividends in Q3; Q4 returned $50M via repurchases and $20M via dividends; Board declared a $0.125 quarterly dividend payable Apr 1, 2025; net leverage improved to 2.7x with $693M cash at Q4-end .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Political advertising strength drove top-line upside: Q4 political revenue reached $187.4M; full-year political was $373.2M, nearly matching 2020 excluding the GA Senate run-offs .
- Subscription revenue up 5% in Q4 to $357.3M as renewals and rate increases offset subscriber declines; ~20% of traditional subs renewed in Q4 with ~45% up for renewal in 2025 .
- Cost and cash discipline: Adjusted FCF of $246.8M in Q4; year-end cash of $693M; net leverage at 2.7x; CEO emphasized “reinventing how we create and monetize content” and deploying AI/automation to run a more efficient operation .
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What Went Wrong
- AMS revenue fell 11% YoY in Q4 to $314.0M due to political displacement and continued softness from national accounts; auto remains challenged in Tier 1/2 despite sequential improvement into Q1 .
- Programming expenses increased (up 7% in Q4 within total OpEx up 2%) as local sports rights ramped, pressuring near-term expense growth; management expects this to moderate later in the year as seasons conclude .
- Q1 2025 outlook implies near-term revenue headwinds: total revenue guided down 4%–7% YoY as political cycles normalize; non-GAAP OpEx flat to up slightly on programming costs despite ongoing core cost reductions .
Financial Results
Trend across recent quarters (oldest → newest):
Year-over-year Q4 comparison:
Revenue mix (oldest → newest):
KPIs and balance sheet:
Non-GAAP adjustments (Q4 2024): Non-GAAP EPS excludes earnout adjustments, retention costs, workforce restructuring and certain non-operating/tax items, per reconciliation (Table 3) .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We are reinventing how we create and monetize content to capture the full opportunity in both linear TV and digital…well-positioned to seize transformative moments in media and build a sustainable future for local news.” – CEO Mike Steib (press release) .
- “We spent this quarter designing… the TV station of the future, using modern cloud-based technology, AI automation, virtual sets… piloting this in 2 markets… expected to increase capabilities and operational savings across our station portfolio.” – CEO .
- “We achieved approximately $50 million in annualized savings by the end of the year 2024… on track to generate $90–$100 million in core nonprogramming annualized savings as we exit 2025.” – CFO Julie Heskett .
- “Programming [expense] was up 7%… driven by sports rights… that will not continue throughout the year… once we lap into the latter half.” – CFO .
- “If this much overdue deregulation comes through, the value unlock through synergies for the industry broadly is really substantial.” – CEO .
Q&A Highlights
- M&A posture: Company will be disciplined buyers/sellers to maximize shareholder value if deregulation enables consolidation; emphasis on optionality given balance sheet strength .
- Expense outlook: Near-term programming costs elevated from sports rights; underlying core costs sequentially improving; expect programming pressure to ease later in 2025 .
- Sports rights profitability: Management expects profitability in 2025; rights seen as valuable for audience engagement and advertising .
- Q1 pacing and category color: AMS pacing improved through Q1 to down low-single digits; Super Bowl rotation from CBS to FOX a ~$10M mix headwind; auto remains challenged, especially Tier 1/2 .
- Retrans renewals: ~45% of traditional subscribers up for renewal in 2025, mostly at year-end, offering opportunities for rate capture .
- Capital structure: Company has cash to address 2026 bonds while preserving flexibility for strategic opportunities .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q4 2024 revenue/EPS/EBITDA could not be retrieved at this time due to an API daily request limit; therefore, we have not included versus-consensus comparisons in this recap. Where possible, we anchored to company guidance and prior periods .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- 2024 exit strength: Political-driven Q4 outperformance, subscription stabilization, and Adjusted EBITDA momentum position TGNA well entering 2025; balance sheet optionality (2.7x net leverage; $693M cash) supports both capital returns and strategic actions .
- 1H headwind then normalization: Q1 revenue guided down 4–7% YoY on political cycle; programming expense elevated early on sports rights but expected to normalize in 2H, while core cost reductions continue to accrue .
- 2025 catalysts: ~45% retrans renewals (mostly late-year) and continued rate capture could underpin subscription stability; two-year Adjusted FCF guidance reaffirmation ($900M–$1.1B) frames capital return capacity and debt preparedness .
- Structural efficiency: Execution of $90–$100M core cost program and “station of the future” AI/automation pilots are tangible levers for operating leverage regardless of macro .
- Sports rights strategy: Local sports enhances reach and advertiser access; management asserts profitability, with temporary programming cost inflation expected to ease as seasons roll off .
- CTV/local digital mix: Premion/local digital remains a growth vector (local strong, national soft); enabling the salesforce to cross-sell across linear/CTV is a near-term execution focus .
- Regulatory optionality: Potential FCC deregulation could unlock M&A synergies; TGNA’s disciplined approach and financial flexibility make it a credible consolidator or partner .
Supporting detail and source documents:
- Q4 2024 earnings press release (furnished with 8-K):
- Q4 2024 Form 8-K Item 2.02 and EX-99.1:
- Q4 2024 earnings call transcript:
- Q3 2024 press release/call for trend context:
- Q2 2024 press release/call for trend context:
- Dividend declaration (Feb 11, 2025):